

This is all somewhat boring - the better teams are on the left, and the worse teams are on the right, because the worse teams have to play the better teams, and the better teams don’t have to play themselves. If the top seed in the NL is going to come down to LA and Chicago, well, neither stands to have an advantage here.
#2017 mlb schedule plus
But there’s the all-important matter of home field in the playoffs! Plus bragging rights. It kind of doesn’t matter much, since the Cubs will win their division anyway, barring multiple catastrophes. The Cubs are right there with the Dodgers. The Dodgers project to benefit much like the Indians do. There are also, of course, the Padres and the Diamondbacks, so it’s not like it’s because of the Rockies and nobody else. So, take that for whatever it’s worth, but the projections don’t think the Rockies are all that good, and that’s part of the reason why the Dodgers end up first.

This time around, the community has chosen the Rockies as its Cinderella. In last year’s post, I had to note that the Royals point affected everything, because the community was a lot higher on them than the projections. The difference between a 79-win team and an 83-win team is imperceptible on a given day. The Tigers’ average opponent projects to be about. And to put these numbers on a different scale: The Indians’ average opponent projects for a winning percentage of. No one gets it in the shorts quite like the A’s, but you can also see in here how the AL East looks to be murder. It makes their chances incrementally higher, as if they were to improve their roster at one or two positions. I think, on talent, the Tigers are looking up at superior teams, yet this is a break, if a minor one. The Mariners? It’s an advantage of more than one game. Who’s the closest wild-card competition? The Blue Jays? The schedule gives the Tigers almost a two-game relative advantage. But don’t fret too much, Tigers fans, because there’s still an opportunity here. So, chances are, the Indians will take the AL Central walking away. There’s a reason why the Indians’ odds of winning the division are so incredibly high. The Tigers are the only other seemingly competitive team, and they’re overall average. And the projections aren’t big fans of this Royals team either, not that that’s new news. The White Sox are bad, and they’re sort of bad on purpose. The schedule grants them more than two extra wins, and the biggest part of this is their divisional context. Doesn’t mean we can’t go ahead!Īs expected, the Indians project to have the easiest schedule in the American League by far. It’s a given that the projections aren’t perfect. I wouldn’t worry too much about the specific numbers shown here themselves rather, what’s critical are the numbers in relation to one another. A negative outcome indicates the opposite.
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A positive outcome shows that a given team stands to face a pretty easy schedule. We’ll start with the American League, and in here you see the words “extra wins” on the y-axis. It takes but a matter of moments, and so everything is laid out below in two plots - one for each league. And by looking at those adjustments, you can easily infer projected schedule strength. The differences, therefore, are because of schedule adjustments. The projected standings page reflects what we might call “true-talent projections.” The playoff odds page, however, takes those team projections and then folds in the regular-season schedules. There are actually at least tiny differences everywhere! This is easy to explain. If you’re just poking around for the first time, you might pick up on the fact that not all the numbers are identical. Here is our current projected standings page.
#2017 mlb schedule free
If you still remember it, feel free to skip right over this paragraph.
